✭ The Next Decade: What the World Will Look Like Books ✯ Author George Friedman – 1sm.info

The Next Decade: What the World Will Look Like Have you ever played the board game Risk The game board is a map of the world partitioned into different colored continents, subdivided into countries Each player places their armies on different countries, battles their opponents, and conquers territory with the ultimate goal of taking over the entire world The difficult decisions are where to place your armies and who to engage in battle Reading George Friedman s The Next Decade reminded of Risk, but instead of being a game, it s real life Have you ever played the board game Risk The game board is a map of the world partitioned into different colored continents, subdivided into countries Each player places their armies on different countries, battles their opponents, and conquers territory with the ultimate goal of taking over the entire world The difficult decisions are where to place your armies and who to engage in battle Reading George Friedman s The Next Decade reminded of Risk, but instead of being a game, it s real life and the US is one of the biggest players Friedman analyzes the world with a geopolitical lens, assessing different countries strengths and weaknesses, based on their natural resources, their borders and alliances with their neighbors, and a myriad of other factors He gives specific recommendations of how the US should approach different countries in order to maintain it s current dominance in the world This book was a huge eye opener for me In the US, we are naive in our beliefs that we engage in wars for democracy, freedom, or other ideals Friedman is pretty blunt The goal of America s role in foreign policy is the balance of power We want other countries to be fighting battles among themselves to keep us in our current position The amount of information on our past relationships with other countries and his forecast on the power shifts that will occur in the next decade were interesting and filled with surprises Very informative The author makes a bold and unshakable declaration America is an imperial empire and that s a fact Also America could lose itself as a Republic.The author is CEO of Stratfor, which does intelligence analysis for the CIA and the multinationals So the opinions in this book count for something.He gives the big picture that faces America abroad It is simple power and balance of power He states that this country is always striving to set other countries at each other so they cannot combine again The author makes a bold and unshakable declaration America is an imperial empire and that s a fact Also America could lose itself as a Republic.The author is CEO of Stratfor, which does intelligence analysis for the CIA and the multinationals So the opinions in this book count for something.He gives the big picture that faces America abroad It is simple power and balance of power He states that this country is always striving to set other countries at each other so they cannot combine against the United States Not pretty, but the alternative is like believing pink horsies with wings bring babies I learned from this book why politicians always lie to us and why they will continue to do so The reason is We cannot handle the truth wasn t that in a movie or something Politicians always have to dose the public with something it can accept.I quickly noticed what I read in this book was being mentioned in the news of the day How we are concerned about Egypt falling could be dangerous because the Israel Egypt combination is important to us.The book predicts that Germany and Russia will try to combine and that we will interfere with that It predicts the rise of Japan, the fall of China and ultimately the fall of Russia Russia cannot make it in the end because the rivers run the wrong way There are other areas of the world the book mentioned and that make this book a must read for anyone getting baptized into real world politik.As I say, this book helps me to follow along with the news.The author does not get into a detailed discussion about how we may lose our RepublicSo I knocked a star off the rating, because I am so unfair The Author Of The Acclaimed New York Times Bestseller The Next Years Now Focuses His Geopolitical Forecasting Acumen On The Next Decade And The Imminent Events And Challenges That Will Test America And The World, Specifically Addressing The Skills That Will Be Required By The Decade S Leaders The Next Ten Years Will Be A Time Of Massive Transition The Wars In The Islamic World Will Be Subsiding, And Terrorism Will Become Something We Learn To Live With China Will Be Encountering Its Crisis We Will Be Moving From A Time When Financial Crises Dominate The World To A Time When Labor Shortages Will Begin To Dominate The New Century Will Be Taking Shape In The Next Decade In The Next Decade, George Friedman Offers Readers A Pro Vocative And Endlessly Fascinating Prognosis For The Immedi Ate Future Using Machiavelli S The Prince As A Model, Friedman Focuses On The World S Leaders Particularly The American President And With His Trusted Geopolitical Insight Analyzes The Complex Chess Game They Will All Have To Play The Book Also Asks How To Be A Good President In A Decade Of Extraordinary Challenge, And Puts The World S Leaders Under A Microscope To Explain How They Will Arrive At The Decisions They Will Make And The Consequences These Actions Will Have For Us All From The Hardcover Edition I like the way Friedman said something like the leaders of today can be taught yesterday not his exact words, these are mine From 8,000 BCE to now, from empires to states, from theocracy to democracy, the world has changed again and again, and will continue to change, for better or for worse.The way we know how toprogress and notretrogress is by looking to the past and seeing how we can better the future.For example these are my own examples since I don t want to spoil The majority of th I like the way Friedman said something like the leaders of today can be taught yesterday not his exact words, these are mine From 8,000 BCE to now, from empires to states, from theocracy to democracy, the world has changed again and again, and will continue to change, for better or for worse.The way we know how toprogress and notretrogress is by looking to the past and seeing how we can better the future.For example these are my own examples since I don t want to spoil The majority of the empires were taken over or just became too unstable and collapsed because of nomadic tribes, decentralized governments, or revolts that brought down the power by bringing down the economy We can and have learned from these mistakes and each newdecadeor century has proved this.I like his wording and hope to readof Friedman s work soon.4 5 See I can be smart too His stories are actually quite interesting While the work already feels somewhat dated, there are nonetheless lots of useful observations about the near past that can inform us about the near future. Less interesting,repetitive compared to his previous books I am glad to have found this author who is a very insightful foreign policy thinker He looks at foreign policy through Machiavellian spectacles and examines the forces that will shape the world going forward and gives interesting directives for the would be President of the United States in exerting power around the world while maneuvering through national political discussions.The book starts with a short history primer and notes the current political realities It then assesses each geographi I am glad to have found this author who is a very insightful foreign policy thinker He looks at foreign policy through Machiavellian spectacles and examines the forces that will shape the world going forward and gives interesting directives for the would be President of the United States in exerting power around the world while maneuvering through national political discussions.The book starts with a short history primer and notes the current political realities It then assesses each geographical region and gives a risk assessment plan prescription in much the same way that a physician might make a SOAP subjective and Objective info, Assessment, Plan write up on a patient For example, He recommends strengthening Poland to be the bone in the throat between a Germany and Russian alliance, strengthening ties with Australia to counterbalance in Asia, doing nothing in Africa because Africa is irrelevant in modern geopolitics, doing nothing about immigration, and nothing to help correct the drug war in Mexico while giving the appearance of working to solve both, etc There is an interesting discussion about the current financial crisis in the EU countries that raise implications for renewed nationalistic conflagrations e.g., how Greece benefits from the EU, but is paralyzed economically because they have no sovereign currency to be either closely control monetary policy or suffer the gradual consequences from bad economic policies.There are little nuggets here about China s political and economic balance and the outlook for their continued growth and instability, how the blocking of the Strait of Hormunz might affect Japan, and the importance of the U.S Navy even in this modern era of sophisticated satellite and aeronautical power It was interesting to hear that Great Britain once the world s preeminent power has just recently retired it s only aircraft carrier, and the role that Latin America esp Brazil will play in the future It s well worth the read for anybody interested in world geography, economics and politics Once again, I don t generally give higher reviews than the average In fact, I m not sure it s happened apart from George Friedman books After the acclaim heaped on his book The Next 100 years Friedman, felt compelled to write one that focusedon the short term This is how he gives us The Next Decade Again, I m astonished by Friedman s ability to extract the signal from the noise He seems to use all the information anyone has available to them it manages to come to different and entirel Once again, I don t generally give higher reviews than the average In fact, I m not sure it s happened apart from George Friedman books After the acclaim heaped on his book The Next 100 years Friedman, felt compelled to write one that focusedon the short term This is how he gives us The Next Decade Again, I m astonished by Friedman s ability to extract the signal from the noise He seems to use all the information anyone has available to them it manages to come to different and entirely logical conclusions For instance, his cogent critique of the Iraq war is the single most effective I ve heard to date, an articulate dismantling of the the national security justifications for that war Effectively he says that what the final result of the Iraq war was to remove the lone Sunni counterbalance to our Shi ite enemy in the region, allowing Iran to project power Friedman is no peacenik, he is a tireless advocate of using the military for political purposes He just failed to find any logic in removing a counterbalance to one of our enemies His greatest fear is not of China or Islamism, or even debt It s of America learning to handle an empire, but losing our republic I found this fascinating, as clearly Friedman shares my opinion of us as a new Rome, a republic of massive power that stumbled to empire, and learned to control it only to lose the foundations of republicIt was also interesting how he treated the office of the president His continual reference to Machiavelli s The Prince probably will unnerve people who believe America is the city on a hill like myself But the stakes do not get higher Friedman simply makes the case that the job of the President is to ensure American hegemony for the foreseeable future That will require actions that no President would ever campaign on, but will promote America Another fascinating, readable book from George Friedman.Owen Gardner Finnegan STRATFOR is a political think tank that gained prominence after Anonymous hacked its servers and spewed out its exceedingly boring dossiers onto the uncaring public Its director, George Friedman, also wrote a book called THE NEXT 100 YEARS which contained such fantastic prediction as that in the year 2060, Japanese schoolgirl ninjas and Polish Space Marines would build a giant moon laser and sunburn half of the USA One tends to wonder a bit how these scenarios get created, although it s probab STRATFOR is a political think tank that gained prominence after Anonymous hacked its servers and spewed out its exceedingly boring dossiers onto the uncaring public Its director, George Friedman, also wrote a book called THE NEXT 100 YEARS which contained such fantastic prediction as that in the year 2060, Japanese schoolgirl ninjas and Polish Space Marines would build a giant moon laser and sunburn half of the USA One tends to wonder a bit how these scenarios get created, although it s probably all clever disinformation Yeah, actually maybe STRATFOR really does run the world as the tin foil crowd believes , they re just feigning absurdity.Apparently Friedman does a little better with ten years of predictions rather than the full hundred This work comes out of the school of foreign policy that says, hey, we re an empire, let s deal with it not all FP professionals agree The result is a outlook that relies extensively on the Westphalian model of states and alliances Niall Ferguson does a better job of noticing things like the Protestantization of Latin America and growing Christianity of China Other writers are a bitsubtle in dissecting racial politics and civilizational models Friedman sees national states as inevitable and then subsequently conflict On the other hand, other geopolitical thinkers find multiethnic empires the norm Who knows who cares I predict fusion power will always be 20 years away and bioengineered superflu will kill off a tenth of humanity But fine, yeah, it s possible humanity will settle Mars by that time, VR will be so good Perky Pat will knock all our socks offIf you read this far, I want to say, man, it wasn t that I didn t know enough It was that I knew too much This book learned me how mega trends, technology, demography, resources, wars, and foreign political actions are being observed and analyzed from American politicians perspective Although Friedman admits that America has some moral hypothesis that must maintain, but he confess that it must use all imperial power resources it possess to prevent any potential rival from competing its global role in both short and long terms As a Moslem Arabic, i have to highlight two things about this book to tw This book learned me how mega trends, technology, demography, resources, wars, and foreign political actions are being observed and analyzed from American politicians perspective Although Friedman admits that America has some moral hypothesis that must maintain, but he confess that it must use all imperial power resources it possess to prevent any potential rival from competing its global role in both short and long terms As a Moslem Arabic, i have to highlight two things about this book to two different segments 1 to the Moslems and Arabs America is like any other empire, it cares nothing about your own shit, don t expect any moral movement from it s side to help you to solve your own problems, any single action it takes is to strengthen its global power on your expenses, not else It did the same to Japan, Germany and Russia in last century, and it does that to Russia Germany now and will do that to Brazil and Turkey in next decades.2 to the others many examples in Middle east and terrorism chapters are misleading the terrorism examples Friedman cites amplify palestinian resistance actions without citing any of uncountable israeli terror actions, or, at least, explaining the things behind palestinian hostility actions to Israel Moreover, he concluded that America chose to support Israel as a result to the arab hostility to USA, which is precisely counter contrast USA took strategic decision to support Israel, and that decision lead Arabs and Moslems to hostile American administrations In the final analysis, I liked this book, it taught me a bunch of political things I hadn t known before, and i recommend others, who are interested in foreign policy and geopolitics, to read it

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